Política exterior y de seguridad

Conferencia de Arie M. Kacowicz, profesor de Relaciones Internacionales de la Universidad Hebrea de Jerusalén, en las III Jornadas sobre Política y Seguridad Internacional, organizadas por GESI y celebradas en la Facultad de Ciencias Política y Sociología de la Universidad de Granada durante los días 26-28 octubre de 2011.

Conferencia de José Ignacio Torreblanca, Profesor de Ciencia Política de la Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED), en las III Jornadas sobre Política y Seguridad Internacional, organizadas por GESI y celebradas en la Facultad de Ciencias Política y Sociología de la Universidad de Granada durante los días 26-28 octubre de 2011.

The first round of Egyptian parliamentary elections has taken place, and the winners were two Islamist parties. The Islamists themselves are split between more extreme and more moderate factions, but it is clear that the secularists who dominated the demonstrations and who were the focus of the Arab Spring narrative made a poor showing. Of the three broad power blocs in Egypt — the military, the Islamists and the secular democrats — the last proved the weakest.

U.S. troops are in the process of completing their withdrawal from Iraq by the end-of-2011 deadline. We are now moving toward a reckoning with the consequences. The reckoning concerns the potential for a massive shift in the balance of power in the region, with Iran moving from a fairly marginal power to potentially a dominant power. As the process unfolds, the United States and Israel are making countermoves. We have discussed all of this extensively. Questions remain whether these countermoves will stabilize the region and whether or how far Iran will go in its response.