Academic Papers:

The Political and Security Repercussions of The Islamic State in the Middle East and North Africa Region

Academic Papers

The processes of political transformation can be performed through peaceful or violent changes. There are some factors that can impact on the way these processes take place in a particular scenario. In this regard, we find favorable external factors such as international or regional context that can promote non-violent changes to further lead to transitions to democracy.

Political and social trends in the future of global security. A meta-study on official perspectives in Europe and North America

Academic Papers

The present paper carries out a meta-study regarding security and defence foresight documents by the Atlantic Alliance, European Union and various official bodies linked to the Defence Ministries of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and United States. 

The Impact of Russian Intervention in Post-Soviet Secessionist Conflict in the South Caucasus on Russian Geo-energy Interests

Trabajos académicos

The dismemberment of the Soviet Union prompted a very unstable decade of decline for Russia, and generated numerous conflicts in the post-Soviet space. Russia regained influence at global and, chiefly, regional level from 2000, after Vladimir Putin became president and the price of hydrocarbons rose.

The evolution of the structure of jihadist terrorism in Western Europe: the case of Spain

Recent years have seen the publication of a number of studies which have examined the structure of jihadist terrorism in the West from the perspective of the existence or absence of links between grass-root militants and organisations such as Al Qaeda Central and its regional affiliates. The majority of the studies have centred their analysis on individuals and groups who have perpetrated terrorist plots, which is a logical choice given the importance of such cases and the greater information available on them.

The Effectiveness of the Drone Campaign against Al Qaeda Central: A Case Study

This article examines the effects which the drone strike campaign in Pakistan is having on Al Qaeda Central. To that end, it constructs a theoretical model to explain how the campaign is affecting Al Qaeda’s capacity to carry out terrorist attacks in the United States and Western Europe. Although the results of one single empirical case cannot be generalised, they nonetheless constitute a preliminary element for the construction of a broader theoretical framework concerning the use of armed drones as part of a counter-terrorism strategy.